Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000206 0.000231 0.000257 0.000286 0.000319 0.000355 0.000397
2025-06-08 0.000169 0.000202 0.000238 0.000283 0.000336 0.000396 0.000470
2025-06-15 0.000144 0.000181 0.000226 0.000282 0.000353 0.000438 0.000548
2025-06-22 0.000123 0.000163 0.000213 0.000279 0.000365 0.000474 0.000621
2025-06-29 0.000111 0.000153 0.000208 0.000285 0.000388 0.000524 0.000715
2025-07-06 0.000099 0.000143 0.000201 0.000286 0.000406 0.000568 0.000804
2025-07-13 0.000089 0.000132 0.000193 0.000285 0.000418 0.000604 0.000884
2025-07-20 0.000082 0.000127 0.000192 0.000291 0.000441 0.000658 0.000993
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000293 0.000457 0.000701 0.001090
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000114 0.000182 0.000294 0.000472 0.000743 0.001187
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000106 0.000175 0.000291 0.000479 0.000773 0.001266
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000102 0.000172 0.000293 0.000495 0.000818 0.001373
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000096 0.000166 0.000290 0.000503 0.000853 0.001466
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000091 0.000161 0.000289 0.000514 0.000890 0.001568
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000087 0.000158 0.000290 0.000527 0.000934 0.001683
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.000082 0.000153 0.000287 0.000534 0.000968 0.001781
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000080 0.000153 0.000293 0.000558 0.001031 0.001937
2025-09-28 0.000038 0.000077 0.000150 0.000295 0.000574 0.001082 0.002074
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000073 0.000146 0.000294 0.000582 0.001119 0.002188
2025-10-12 0.000034 0.000072 0.000147 0.000301 0.000608 0.001191 0.002372
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000070 0.000145 0.000303 0.000624 0.001244 0.002523
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000067 0.000143 0.000304 0.000638 0.001295 0.002674
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000064 0.000138 0.000300 0.000642 0.001326 0.002786